It's official - 2018 is a lock for stock investors.

Thanks to today's gains, the S&P 500 is up 2.5% - doubling the gains in gold - as bonds are suffering so far...which means, as Ryan Detrick notes, "since 1950, when the first 5 days are up over 2%, the S&P 500 is higher for the year 15 out of 15 times with an average return of +18.6%. "

https://alternativeeconomics.co/res?src=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fsites%2Fdefault%2Ffiles%2Finline-images%2F20180108_EOD5.png

 

Unless, of course, this time is different.

 

On the day, The Dow managed to scramble back to unchanged then stick there before closing lower... Trannies (blue) were best, Nasdaq continued higher with more record highs...

 

https://alternativeeconomics.co/res?src=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fsites%2Fdefault%2Ffiles%2Finline-images%2F20180108_EOD8.png

This is the first day of the year so far that we did not gap higher at the open.

There has been a notable regime shift from December as late-day buying returns...

 

https://alternativeeconomics.co/res?src=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fsites%2Fdefault%2Ffiles%2Finline-images%2F20180108_EOD9.png

The Smart Money Flow Index is calculated by taking the action of the Dow in two time periods: the first 30 minutes and the close. The first 30 minutes represent emotional buying, driven by greed and fear of the crowd based on good and bad news. There is also a lot of buying on market orders and short covering at the opening. Smart money waits until the end and they very often test the market before by shorting heavily just to see how the market reacts. Then they move in the big way. These heavy hitters also have the best possible information available to them and they do have the edge on all the other market participants.

But while stocks remain notable, it was the chaos in cryptocurrencies that caught many eyes. Ripple crashed over 30% on the day, before ramping back...

 

https://alternativeeconomics.co/res?src=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fsites%2Fdefault%2Ffiles%2Finline-images%2F20180108_EOD4.png

One apparent reason for the sudden plunge: an adjustment from a popular website on its digital-currency price quotes. A website called coinmarketcap.com on Monday removed data from some South Korean exchanges from its price quotes for a range of virtual currencies including bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple’s XRP. The move followed a South Korean government crackdown on cryptocurrencies.

And while everyone sees cryptos as being in a bubble, we couldn't help but note the crisis in 'camera on a stick' as it crashed 30%, ripped back on rumors, then dumped on denials... and is now down 95% from its post-IPO highs (now that sounds like a burst bubble)...

 

https://alternativeeconomics.co/res?src=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fsites%2Fdefault%2Ffiles%2Finline-images%2F20180108_gpro111.png

 

Additionally, SeaGate soared after rumors it was working with Ripple...

https://alternativeeconomics.co/res?src=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fsites%2Fdefault%2Ffiles%2Finline-images%2F20180108_EOD1.png

 

Treasuries were unchanged today - literally - after a small dip in yields early ramped back to unch (Tokyo on holiday again)... (the entire curve is around 7-8bps higher on the year)

 

https://alternativeeconomics.co/res?src=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fsites%2Fdefault%2Ffiles%2Finline-images%2F20180108_EOD7.png

 

The Dollar Index bounced most in 3 weeks

 

https://alternativeeconomics.co/res?src=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fsites%2Fdefault%2Ffiles%2Finline-images%2F20180108_EOD6.png

 

Crude was higher on the day and copper lower once again as the industrial metal has not had a great 2018 so far...

 

https://alternativeeconomics.co/res?src=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fsites%2Fdefault%2Ffiles%2Finline-images%2F20180108_EOD3.png

 

Finally, the longest win streak in the history of gold futures... is over...

 

https://alternativeeconomics.co/res?src=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fsites%2Fdefault%2Ffiles%2Finline-images%2F20180108_EOD2.png

On Friday, 11 straight days higher beat the 10-day streak from 1994 but today's 12th day loser ends the streak.