by New Deal democrat
My Weekly Indicators piece is up at Seeking Alpha.
If my reference frames are well- constructed, economic trends ought to start out in the long leading forecast, then start to show up in the short leading forecast, and finally make it through to the coincident nowcast.
Almost 6 months ago, the long leading forecast changed from positive to neutral for the first time. It’s been flirting with further deterioration ever since. Well, this week ….
As usual, clicking through and reading is a way to help support my putting in the effort to describe and forecast the economy for you.